However, while this result shows that a population of Bayesian agents interacting with chatbots will move no further forward in their beliefs, the experience of an individual agent will differ. That agent will be receiving repeated samples from the distribution p(d|h∗)p(d|h^{*}). By an analysis analogous to that given above for the p(d|true process)p(d|\text{true process}), the agent’s beliefs will become increasingly concentrated on h∗h^{*} as nn increases. Since h∗h^{*} was selected based only on the original piece of evidence d0d_{0}, this creates an illusion of confirmation without getting the agent any closer to the truth. As a result, the agent is likely to become increasingly confident in an incorrect hypotheses about the underlying process.
面对这种质疑,张凯回应道:“中国有句话叫‘向下亲,向上疏’。现在一个家庭里,经常是四个老人加两个家长围着一个孩子转,孩子的关爱有时候都过头了。但反过来看老人呢?两个中年人得照顾至少四位老人,有的还有爷爷奶奶要管。老年人这块的陪伴,确实是缺失的,是个特别刚性的痛点。”几千块钱买个陪伴机器人,对他们来说不是奢侈消费,是买个安心。
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